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Alasdair Macleod

markets flow

Why a bear market will lead to a dollar collapse

05/03/2020(0)
  Falling equity markets this week are likely to signal the onset of a bear market, responding to a combination of the coronavirus spreading beyond China and persistent indications ... Read More
Economy

Coronavirus and credit – a perfect storm

19/02/2020(0)
  This article posits that the spread of the coronavirus coincides with the downturn in the global credit cycle, with potentially catastrophic results. At the time of writing, analysts ... Read More
gold bars

Gold’s outlook for 2020

03/01/2020(0)
This article is an overview of the economic conditions that will drive the gold price in 2020 and beyond. The turn of the credit cycle, the effect on government ... Read More
europe-uk

Post-Brexit planning

20/12/2019(0)
  Brexit will be done by the end of next month, when trade negotiations with the EU will begin. Importantly, Britain’s negotiating position has strengthened immeasurably, and the new ... Read More
currency

150 years of bank credit expansion is near its end

22/11/2019(0)
  The legal formalisation of the creation of bank credit commenced with England’s 1844 Bank Charter Act. It has led to a regular cycle of expansion and collapse of ... Read More
globe

Resolving creeping communism

15/11/2019(0)
  The thirtieth anniversary of the fall of the Iron Curtain coincides with a popular resurgence of communism and a drift into more socialism. A collective amnesia sees a ... Read More
world-euro-notes

Plans for a global Dystopia

14/11/2019(0)
  Global policy planners intend to deliver replacements for both dollar hegemony and fossil fuels. Plans may appear uncoordinated and in their early stages, but these issues are becoming ... Read More
Euro, Hong Kong dollar, U.S. dollar, Japanese yen, British pound and Chinese 100-yuan banknotes are seen in a picture illustration

Money and the theory of exchange

23/10/2019(0)
  Evidence mounts that the global credit cycle has turned towards its perennial crisis stage. This time, the gathering forces appear to be on a scale greater than any ... Read More
markets flow

An Inflationary Depression

04/10/2019(0)
  Financial markets are ignoring bearish developments in international trade, which coincide with the end of a long expansionary phase for credit. Both empirical evidence from the one occasion ... Read More
Global-Recession

Measuring Recession

20/09/2019(0)
  Using nominal GDP, or GDP deflated by the CPI, as the principal guide to the state of the economy is a common mistake which will eventually prove very ... Read More
Broker Cyprus TopFX