Elliott wave Analysis: USDCAD and USD Index Developments 

usd index

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USDCAD made a sharp bearish reversal down from 1.366 level, an impulsive wave A) to be specific which looks to have found a base at the 1.317 level. A recovery that followed from the lows can be part of a temporary three-wave pullback labelled as wave B), which can retrace towards the 1.344 level(level of a former swing high) and there find resistance and make a reversal lower. Also, Fibonacci ratios of 38.2 and 50.0 can react as possible turning point zones for the pair.

USDCAD, 4h

usdcad 4

USD Index is turning to the upside, showing first evidences of a completed leg y of B correction at the 95.00 level. In such case, we expect to see price unravel a five-wave recovery into wave C, however be aware of temporary pullbacks during this uptrend. At the moment we see price unfolding sub-wave i of C, which can look for resistance near the 96.96 swing high.A decisive break above the upper channel line connected from 97.70 level would be another sign of a completed pullback and more upside.

USD Index, 4h

usd index

 

Disclosure: Please be informed that information we provide is NOT trading recommendation or investment advice. All of our work is for educational purposes only.

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By Gregor Horvat

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