Elliott wave analysis: USDCAD In A Triangle consolidation 

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Gregor - Author BIO photo

USDCAD is bullish long-term, however recent price activity suggest price being trapped in a triangle correction of a higher degree wave IV. Now we see price reversing lower, down from the upper triangle line, suggesting that wave C of a triangle is underway. That said, further sideways price activity can be seen, as we still miss waves C, D and E. Once they develop, a new recovery above current 1.47 high can be seen into a wave V.

USDCAD, weekly

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On the daily chart of USDCAD we see price in a wave C) of C, which is now right at possible support, at 1.347 level, level of a former gap, and at Fib. Ratio of 78.6. A bounce in five lesser degree waves would suggest a completed blue wave C, and further upside underway into a wave D.

USDCAD, daily

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A Triangle is a common 5-wave pattern labelled A-B-C-D-E that moves counter-trend and is corrective in nature. Triangles move within two channel lines drawn from waves A to E, and from waves B to D. A Triangle is either contracting or expanding depending on whether the channel lines are converging or expanding. Triangles are overlapping five wave affairs that subdivide 3-3-3-3-3.

Triangles can occur in wave 4, wave B, wave X position or in some very rare cases also in wave Y of a combination.

An example of a triangle pattern:

triangle pattern

Disclosure: Please be informed that information we provide is NOT trading recommendation or investment advice. All of our work is for educational purposes only.



By Gregor Horvat

Find more: Contributing Author

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