Archives
The Four D’s that define the future
September 28th, 2020
When the money runs out or loses its purchasing power, all sorts of complexity that were previously viewed as essential crumble to dust. Four D’s will define 2020-2025: derealization, denormalization, decomplexification and decoherence. That’s a lot of D’s. ...
A “Market” crash is baked in–Here’s why
December 27th, 2019
Anyone looking at the hollowed-out, fragile shell of a Fed-managed “market” as a system realizes a crash that runs away from central planning control is already baked in. The last thing punters and pundits expect is a stock ...
This is the longest Bull Market since the great pyramid boom of 2580 B.C.
August 30th, 2018
As you have undoubtedly heard, the current Bull Market in U.S. stocks (S&P 500) is the longest in recent history–though some historians claim that Rome’s SPQR Index rose steadily though most of Emperor Augustus’ 40-year reign from 27 ...
Make Capital Cheap and Labor Costly, and Guess What Happens?
July 12th, 2018
Employment expands in the Protected cartel-dominated sectors, and declines in every sector exposed to globalization, domestic competition and cheap capital. If you want to understand why the global economy is failing the many while enriching the few, start ...
Stock Market 2018: The Tao vs. Central Banks
December 7th, 2017
The central banks claim omnipotent financial powers, and their comeuppance is overdue. I will be the first to admit that invoking the woo-woo of the Tao as the reason to expect a reversal of the stock market 2018 ...
My Crazy $17,000 Target for Bitcoin Is Looking Less Crazy
November 28th, 2017
The basis of this admittedly crazy forecast was simple: capital flows. I think we can all agree that bitcoin (BTC) is “interesting.” One of the primary reason that bitcoin (and cryptocurrency in general) is interesting is that nobody ...
Next Stop, Recession: The Financial Meteor Storm Is Headed Our Way
August 29th, 2017
Many of those about to be vaporized did not grasp the fragility of the “prosperity” they assumed was both solid and permanent. Business-cycle recessions are not just inevitable, they are necessary to flush bad debt and marginal investments/projects ...
When Assets (Such as Real Estate) Become Liabilities
December 29th, 2016
It will be the middle class that accepted the notion that “real estate is the foundation of family wealth” that will be stripmined by higher taxes on immobile assets such as real estate. Correspondent Joel M. submitted an article ...
Fun with Fake Statistics: The 5% “Increase” in Median Household Income Is Pure Illusion
September 20th, 2016
The truth is the rich are getting richer and everyone else is losing ground as inflation chews through stagnant incomes. Supporters of the status quo nearly wet their pants with joy when the Census Bureau reported that real (adjusted ...
What Are the Odds that the 2020-2022 Olympics Will Be Cancelled?
August 25th, 2016
It’s tough to pay for an Olympics when 95% of your supposed “wealth” has vanished. In the modern era (1896-present), the Olympics have only been cancelled in wartime: 1916 (World War I), 1940 and 1944 (World War II). But ...