Archives
Speculators Sour On Gold And silver, Which Means The Bottom Is Near
July 14th, 2017
The stars — in the form of smart and dumb money futures contract positions — have once again lined up favorably for precious metals. Here are those positions for gold and silver as of Tuesday the 4th. Notice that ...
Time To Add Housing To The Bubble List?
June 1st, 2017
Housing is hot again, but lately it’s been overshadowed by flashier bubbles in government debt, tech stocks and possibly cryptocurrencies. Still, the warning signs are spreading. Today’s Wall Street Journal, for instance, reports that homeowners are back to ...
The Housing Bubble Is Back
April 27th, 2017
Last week I ran into a friend whom I’d been worrying about. He’s a real estate appraiser and his work had been drying up as interest rates rose and homeowners stopped refinancing their mortgages. But now he’s back to ...
Why We’re Ungovernable: Europe Gets Its Doomsday Scenario
April 20th, 2017
The rise of French far-right presidential candidate Marine Le Pen has made a lot of people nervous since, among many other things, she’s in favor of leaving the eurozone, which would pretty much end the common currency. But since ...
Soaring Global Debt Sets Stage For “Unprecedented Private Deleveraging”
April 14th, 2017
The UK’s Telegraph just published an analysis of global debt that pretty much sums up the coming crisis. Here’s an excerpt with a couple of the more hair-raising charts: These numbers are astounding. Emerging market ...
Two Trends That Will Force The Fed To Start Buying Stocks
March 27th, 2017
While the Japanese and Swiss central banks have turned themselves into hedge funds by loading up on equities, the US Fed has stuck to supporting the stock market indirectly, by buying bonds. It’s worked, obviously, with all major US ...
How Many Euro Crises Will This Make? It’s Getting Hard To Keep Track
February 23rd, 2017
Every few years, it seems, one or another mismanaged eurozone country falls into one or another kind of crisis. This leads to speculation about the end of the common currency, which in turn spooks the global financial markets. Then ...
This Is Why You Don’t Own A Lot Of Stocks
February 16th, 2017
You’d think that by now every relevant measure of stock market overvaluation would have been converted into a chart and circulated throughout the blogosphere. But Zero Hedge has come up with a new one depicting how long the typical ...
How Did We Get 2016 So Wrong?
January 12th, 2017
Go through the late 2015/early 2016 articles published on this and similar sites and you’ll find a consensus that 2016 was going to be a really bad year. Corporate profits were falling, business inventories had spiked, and deflation was ...
Gold: Getting There A Little At A Time
January 7th, 2017
One of life’s hardest-to-learn but most necessary lessons is that things usually take a lot longer to work out than you’d like them to. That’s where the sayings “Being too early is the same as being wrong” and “The ...