Archives
More Emerging Market Chaos – How Long Before It Spreads To The Developed World?
August 31st, 2018
Emerging market chaos is now front page news. Let’s start with Argentina, where the peso has resumed its plunge: In response: “Argentina Central Bank hikes interest rate to 60 percent (AP) — Argentina’s Central Bank has increased its ...
Is Tunisia the next emerging market to implode?
August 28th, 2018
Seems like every few days a new developing country discovers that it can’t pay back the dollars and/or euros it borrowed back when “external foreign currency debt” seemed like a good thing. Next up: Tunisia, apparently. From today’s ...
Spectacular Gold COT Report: Prepare For A Huge Six Months
August 15th, 2018
No need to mince words anymore. If the futures market still influences gold’s price, then that price is going to spike. And silver is better than gold. Since January, gold futures speculators have been trending from extremely bullish ...
Global Housing Bubble Is Popping. Here Comes The “Reverse Wealth Effect”
August 10th, 2018
Just a few months ago, real estate was on fire. Prices were blowing past records set during the previous decade’s housing bubble as desperate buyers bought whatever was available at above the asking price while homeowners, confident that prices ...
Another week, another improvement in Gold’s prospects
August 6th, 2018
The past few months have added some cred to the “sell in May and go away” rule of thumb for precious metals, as gold’s price action has been both boring and depressing. It’s now close to its 12-month low, ...
Gold and silver futures action turning positive
July 23rd, 2018
After a brutal few weeks in precious metals, you’d expect trend-following speculators to be heading for the exits. And the most recent gold and silver futures action — aka the commitment of traders (COT) report — shows exactly that. ...
Things Are Lining Up Nicely For Gold And Silver
July 4th, 2018
Beginning in early Spring, gold and silver faced two serious headwinds: Seasonality – that is, the annual decline in bullion demand from China and India once wedding season ends – and the internal structure of the futures markets, where ...
Is China part Of the “Emerging Market Crisis”?
June 29th, 2018
Being huge, consequential and technologically advanced, China isn’t normally lumped into the “emerging” category with Brazil and Argentina. To most observers they’ve already left the kids table and are now seated with the developed-world adults. But that might be ...
Oil, the petrodollar, and the next emerging market crisis
June 21st, 2018
Oil prices are up over the past year, which is bad if you’re, say, a developing country that imports a lot of the stuff. But the US dollar (aka the petrodollar) is also up, which compounds the problem because ...
A Spiking Dollar = Emerging Market Chaos
May 31st, 2018
The dollar collapse thesis – which ends with all fiat currencies achieving their intrinsic value of zero — doesn’t preclude some thrills and chills along the way, in which some currencies fall faster than others and wreak havoc on ...
