Archives
Why Market’s Seasonality May Be Critical in 2015
March 23rd, 2015
With its FOMC statement, the Fed provided the market with what it wanted to hear. They removed the ‘patience’ phrase as expected, but replaced it with a similar assurance that there is no set timetable for rate hikes, that ...
Sorry But This Is Not 1997 for the Market
March 16th, 2015
Several months ago I wrote of how super bull markets that last nine or ten years have been once in a generation situations, the last ones being those of the 1920’s and the 1990’s, but that there were enough ...
Remain Bullish – But Watchful
March 9th, 2015
Remain bullish because the bull market remains in place, with most indexes making new highs as recently as last week. Support levels continue to hold on short-term pullbacks, technical indicators remain on buy signals, and the market’s favorable season ...
Investors Are Mistakenly Assured By Two Shaky Generalities
March 2nd, 2015
Investors are complacent, even confident, regarding the prospects for 2015. That is in spite of the market being at valuation levels higher than all but one previous market peak of the last 100 years, while the economy appears to ...
Are Conditions Setting The Market Up For A Summer Washout?
February 24th, 2015
Here is what we can quite confidently depend on. The stock market makes most of its gains each year in a favorable period of November to May, and if there is a serious correction it usually takes place between ...
Is Gold’s Pullback Another Buying Opportunity?
February 17th, 2015
There are reasons in the technical charts, in the fundamentals, and in investor sentiment, to believe gold is ready for at least a tradable bear market rally. In a January column, I noted that gold plunged 48% from its ...
The Party Is Likely Over for U.S. Treasury Bonds
February 9th, 2015
U.S. treasury bonds defied the experts last year. The consensus was that once the Fed began dialing back its massive bond-buying stimulus program last January, bond prices would have to begin plunging. With the stock market so clearly in ...
Potential For Deflation Is Becoming A Big Threat For 2015
February 2nd, 2015
The fears after 2001 were that the Fed’s easy money policies to pull the economy out of the 2001 recession, followed by even more easing, including the near-zero Fed Funds rate instituted after the 2008 financial meltdown, would result ...
Central Banks and Economic Reports Keep Bull Market Alive
January 28th, 2015
At the age of 72 months, the U.S. bull market may be long in the tooth. Stocks may be significantly over-priced based on the CAPE-10 P/E ratio, and Warren Buffett’s favorite measurement, the ratio of market capitalization to GDP. ...
